Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United v Cambridge United

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 44.15%2.27fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.18%44.12%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.122.1950.00%47.79%47.17%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cambridge United (Visit)

Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.46%28.08%28.15%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.40%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -0.509%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%27.74%27.74%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.6031.25%29.77%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oxford United (Local): 44.15%; Cambridge United (Visit): 28.22%; Draw: 27.64%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -0.509%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.86%EV -3.32%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.53%EV -9.08%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 19:30
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:40
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:40
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.80%EV -5.52%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.14%EV -6.04%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.06%EV -7.69%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:30
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.69%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 19:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.17%E -3.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 19:24
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -9.94%E -4.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -9.94%E -4.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -1.25%E -0.356%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 19:24
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%16.9%2026-09-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 17:00