Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United v Cambridge United

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Oxford United 1–1 Cambridge United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 44.25%2.26fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.27%44.21%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.082.1950.00%47.90%48.08%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cambridge United (Visit)

Prediction 28.60%3.50fair odd
EV +0.105%
Edge +0.030%
Kelly +0.042%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.60%28.61%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.253.5033.33%30.51%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%27.12%27.18%27.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.24%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford United (Local): 44.25%; Cambridge United (Visit): 28.60%; Draw: 27.15%. For Cambridge United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.496. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.105%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV +0.105%E +0.030%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 08:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 05:31
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 07:40
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 07:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 07:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 09:05
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 07:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 05:30
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.82%EV -3.08%E -0.862%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:45
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:43
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 07:40
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 07:44
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 07:39
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 21:45
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.11%EV -8.19%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 07:38
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:04
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 09:06
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 07:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:14
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-09-18 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-09-18 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-09-18 13:10