La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Oxford United v Cambridge United

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Oxford United 1–1 Cambridge United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Oxford United (Local)

Predicción 44.25%2.26momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.27%44.21%46.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.082.1950.00%47.90%48.08%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Predicción 28.60%3.50momio equitativo
EV +0.105%
Ventaja +0.030%
Kelly +0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.60%28.61%30.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.283.253.5033.33%30.51%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -0.871%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.88%27.12%27.18%27.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.24%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Oxford United (Local): 44.25%; Cambridge United (Visitante): 28.60%; Empate: 27.15%. Para Cambridge United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.496. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.500, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.105%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV +0.105%E +0.030%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 08:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 05:31
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -2.76%E -0.810%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 07:40
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 07:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 07:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 07:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 09:05
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 07:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 05:30
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.82%EV -3.08%E -0.862%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:45
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:43
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 07:40
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 07:44
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 07:39
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 21:45
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.11%EV -8.19%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 07:38
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:04
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 09:06
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 07:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:14
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-09-18 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-09-18 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-09-18 13:10