Language:English
Oxford United v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oxford United (Local)
Prediction 50.37%1.99fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.14%50.39%50.40%52.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.841.9057.14%54.64%54.35%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV +0.414%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.125%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%23.29%23.33%24.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.004.004.3026.67%25.00%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%26.32%26.27%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7030.30%28.45%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford United (Local): 50.37%; Burton Albion (Visit): 23.35%; Draw: 26.28%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.414%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -11.85%E -6.77%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV +0.414%E +0.096%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.92%E -0.458%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.27%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -5.93%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.61%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.23%EV -5.89%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -5.93%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.29%E -2.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.78%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.30%E -2.82%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.82%E -4.27%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 02:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.82%E -4.27%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.82%E -4.27%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.33%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.33%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 06:53 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.35%E -6.45%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.35%E -6.45%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.35%E -6.45%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.35%E -6.45%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.85%E -6.77%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.85%E -6.77%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.33%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 06:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.30%EV -5.30%E -2.82%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.00%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.33%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 02:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 02:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.69%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 09:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.27%EV -9.33%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.82%E -4.27%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.82%E -4.27%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |