The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Notts County 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notts County (Local)

Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%25.55%25.41%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.653.8029.41%27.40%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)

Prediction 48.39%2.07fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.92%48.36%48.41%50.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0355.56%52.23%52.36%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.620%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.09%26.18%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.503.7629.41%28.22%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 25.47%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 48.39%; Draw: 26.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.76, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 18:00
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 16:05
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -8.54%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -8.54%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:00
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:00
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.22%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 18:35
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 17:59
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:35
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 16:05
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:00
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -12.90%E -7.17%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.45%EV -7.09%E -3.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -7.46%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 16:00
1xBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -6.53%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.39%EV -7.46%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 16:05
Pinnacle🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.57%EV -1.71%E -0.455%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-20 18:35
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:33
Bet Right🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -9.03%E -4.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.27%EV -10.96%E -5.96%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 18:00
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:00
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.97%E -0.526%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 18:30
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-20 18:35
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 18:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:15
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:00
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:00
BetUS🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -9.33%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.39%EV -1.77%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.59%EV -1.71%E -0.455%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-20 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.19%E -2.12%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.19%E -2.12%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.59%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 18:40
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:40
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -4.19%E -2.12%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:40
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 18:40
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.58%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -7.09%E -3.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 18:35
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 18:39
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-10-20 18:40