A Escola das Odds

Northampton Town v Doncaster Rovers

Início: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Northampton Town 1–3 Doncaster Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Previsão 21.21%4.72odd justa
EV +1.80%
Vantagem +0.375%
Kelly +0.473%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.59%21.30%21.20%22.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.454.504.8025.00%22.47%22.22%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.93%1.85odd justa
EV -5.62%
Vantagem -3.21%
Kelly -7.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.56%53.84%53.91%56.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.711.721.7561.35%58.55%58.14%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.86%4.02odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -0.779%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.13%24.86%24.89%26.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.733.753.9031.25%26.81%26.67%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.80%E +0.375%K +0.473%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.80%E +0.375%K +0.473%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.80%E +0.375%K +0.473%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS4.71I 21.23%NM 20.18%EV -0.111%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -3.78%E -0.978%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -11.02%E -6.68%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -12.09%E -7.42%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -12.09%E -7.42%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle4.41I 22.68%NM 21.50%EV -6.47%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.18%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet4.38I 22.83%NM 21.33%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -8.86%E -5.24%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -20.44%E -6.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00