L’École des cotes

Northampton Town v Doncaster Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Northampton Town 1–3 Doncaster Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Prévision 21.21%4.72cote équitable
EV +1.80%
Avantage +0.375%
Kelly +0.473%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.59%21.30%21.20%22.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.454.504.8025.00%22.47%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.93%1.85cote équitable
EV -5.62%
Avantage -3.21%
Kelly -7.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.56%53.84%53.91%56.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.711.721.7561.35%58.55%58.14%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.86%4.02cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.779%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.13%24.86%24.89%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.733.753.9031.25%26.81%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.80%E +0.375%K +0.473%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.80%E +0.375%K +0.473%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.80%E +0.375%K +0.473%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS4.71I 21.23%NM 20.18%EV -0.111%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -3.78%E -0.978%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.323%E -0.069%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -11.02%E -6.68%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -12.09%E -7.42%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.44%E -0.531%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -12.09%E -7.42%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle4.41I 22.68%NM 21.50%EV -6.47%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.18%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.69%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet4.38I 22.83%NM 21.33%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -7.02%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.17%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.81%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -8.86%E -5.24%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.87%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.93%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -7.78%E -4.55%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.05%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.17%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -9.94%E -5.95%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -20.44%E -6.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00