Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Peterborough United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.94%46.79%49.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0654.64%51.47%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peterborough United (Visit)
Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV +0.067%
Edge +0.019%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.80%27.81%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.54%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.343%
Kelly +0.457%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.26%25.40%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.693.674.0028.99%27.13%27.21%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 46.86%; Peterborough United (Visit): 27.80%; Draw: 25.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.71%E -0.775%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.37%E +0.343%K +0.457%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.16%E -0.299%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.16%E -0.299%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -9.09%E -4.69%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -1.16%E -0.299%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -2.43%E -0.632%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.71%E -0.775%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -10.03%E -5.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.73%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.13%EV -7.44%E -2.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -7.75%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -5.81%E -2.89%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.75%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 07:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -13.28%E -4.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -13.28%E -4.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -14.24%E -7.78%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -14.24%E -7.78%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |