默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milton Keynes Dons v Peterborough United

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Peterborough United

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milton Keynes Dons (主队)

预测 46.86%2.13公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -3.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
45.31%46.94%46.79%49.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.941.952.0654.64%51.47%51.28%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

Peterborough United (客队)

预测 27.80%3.60公平赔率
EV +0.067%
优势 +0.019%
Kelly +0.026%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.09%27.80%27.81%29.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.54%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.34%3.95公平赔率
EV +1.37%
优势 +0.343%
Kelly +0.457%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.84%25.26%25.40%26.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.693.674.0028.99%27.13%27.21%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Milton Keynes Dons (主队):46.86%;Peterborough United (客队):27.80%;平局:25.34%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.95。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.00,对应+1.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.71%E -0.775%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.37%E +0.343%K +0.457%G +0.006%4.9%2026-09-09 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.16%E -0.299%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.16%E -0.299%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -9.09%E -4.69%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -1.16%E -0.299%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -2.43%E -0.632%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.71%E -0.775%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 08:38
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:09
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +0.067%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 12:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 16:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:40
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -10.03%E -5.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.95%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.73%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 15:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.31%E -7.19%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.50%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.13%EV -7.44%E -2.23%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -7.75%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -5.81%E -2.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.75%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:08
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.50%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 07:50
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:16
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -13.28%E -4.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:09
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -13.28%E -4.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -14.24%E -7.78%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -14.24%E -7.78%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 17:15
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 08:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 15:10
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.22%E -3.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%2.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%2.2%2026-09-09 17:21
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%3.4%2026-09-09 17:30