Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Milton Keynes Dons v Luton

2026-10-17 11:30 UTC — League 1

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Milton Keynes Dons (Casa)

Previsione 33.80%2.96quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -0.919%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.53%33.71%33.80%34.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.742.752.8838.02%36.52%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Luton (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.31%2.48quota equa
EV -3.26%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.09%40.47%40.21%43.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.292.292.4047.62%43.63%43.57%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.89%3.86quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.496%
Kelly -0.673%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.01%25.82%25.98%27.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.553.503.7930.77%28.16%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Milton Keynes Dons (Casa): 33.80%; Luton (Trasferta): 40.31%; Pareggio: 25.89%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.86. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.79, con un valore atteso del -1.88%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -2.65%E -0.919%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.61%EV -4.68%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.39%EV -7.70%E -3.36%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.01%EV -1.88%E -0.496%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:19
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:49
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.21%EV -8.06%E -2.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -6.08%E -2.61%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 16:39
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -15.86%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.10%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.10%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.27%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.27%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.27%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 31.42%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.69%2.46I 40.65%NM 29.89%36.0%2026-10-10 19:55