Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Milton Keynes Dons v Luton

2026-10-17 11:30 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prévision 33.80%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.919%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.53%33.71%33.80%34.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.742.752.8838.02%36.52%36.36%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Luton (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.31%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.09%40.47%40.21%43.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.292.4047.62%43.63%43.57%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.89%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.496%
Kelly -0.673%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%25.82%25.98%27.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.503.7930.77%28.16%28.57%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Milton Keynes Dons (Local) : 33.80% ; Luton (Visiteur) : 40.31% ; Match nul : 25.89%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.79, pour une espérance de -1.88% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -2.65%E -0.919%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 20:20
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.61%EV -4.68%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.39%EV -7.70%E -3.36%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.01%EV -1.88%E -0.496%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:19
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:49
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.21%EV -8.06%E -2.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -6.08%E -2.61%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 16:39
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -15.86%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.10%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -11.10%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.27%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.27%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.27%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-10-10 19:15
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 31.42%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.69%2.46I 40.65%NM 29.89%36.0%2026-10-10 19:55