Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester City

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 11:30 UTC

Final: Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Leicester City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prediction 39.50%2.53fair odd
EV -0.472%
Edge -0.187%
Kelly -0.311%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.11%39.38%39.49%40.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.5244.44%42.53%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leicester City (Visit)

Prediction 34.39%2.91fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.885%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%34.47%34.33%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.8640.00%36.85%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -0.752%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.62%26.15%26.17%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.56%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 39.50%; Leicester City (Visit): 34.39%; Draw: 26.12%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -0.472%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.11%EV -0.472%E -0.187%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -11.27%E -4.37%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -8.34%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -4.42%E -1.83%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -4.40%E -1.58%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -2.07%E -0.552%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:24
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:25
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:06
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -10.59%E -4.07%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.48%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -6.40%E -2.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.79%E -2.88%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -6.12%E -2.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:10
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:21
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:15
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.87%E -3.35%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.87%E -3.35%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:19
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.87%E -3.35%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -7.58%E -3.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -1.65%E -0.575%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -7.58%E -3.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -1.65%E -0.575%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.21%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 11:12
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.21%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:06
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:21
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:06
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.14%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.24%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -2.07%E -0.552%K -0.752%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.66%EV -9.56%E -4.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:10
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.59%E -4.07%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.89%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.03%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-08-29 11:25