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Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester City

2026-08-29 11:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prediction 33.08%3.02fair odd
EV -0.745%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.373%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.74%32.71%33.22%33.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.803.0037.04%35.30%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leicester City (Visit)

Prediction 39.91%2.51fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.22%39.63%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.292.302.4046.08%43.73%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%27.07%27.16%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.423.6030.77%29.32%29.24%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 33.08%; Leicester City (Visit): 39.91%; Draw: 27.01%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.00, with an expected value of -0.745%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -0.745%E -0.248%K -0.373%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -2.40%E -0.813%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -2.40%E -0.813%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -13.40%E -6.18%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.05%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.77%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:03
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -4.72%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.77%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.72%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 22:04
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -4.72%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 22:04
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 22:05
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 22:05
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 22:04
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 22:04
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 22:05
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.69%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.50%EV -5.82%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 21:54
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 19:34
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.02%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.22%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 19:19
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%2.06I 48.54%NM 41.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%16.5%2026-08-22 19:00

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