Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester City

Inicio: 2026-08-29 11:30 UTC

Final: Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Leicester City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Predicción 39.50%2.53momio equitativo
EV -0.472%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.311%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.11%39.38%39.49%40.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.5244.44%42.53%42.55%39.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leicester City (Visitante)

Predicción 34.39%2.91momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.885%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%34.47%34.33%36.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.8640.00%36.85%37.04%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.62%26.15%26.17%27.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.56%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 39.50%; Leicester City (Visitante): 34.39%; Empate: 26.12%. Para Milton Keynes Dons (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.53. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.52, con un valor esperado de -0.472%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.11%EV -0.472%E -0.187%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -11.27%E -4.37%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -8.34%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -4.42%E -1.83%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -4.40%E -1.58%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -2.07%E -0.552%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:24
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:25
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 11:25
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.99%E -0.698%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:06
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -10.59%E -4.07%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.48%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -6.40%E -2.70%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.79%E -2.88%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -6.12%E -2.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 11:10
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:21
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:15
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.87%E -3.35%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.87%E -3.35%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:19
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.87%E -3.35%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -7.58%E -3.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -1.65%E -0.575%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -7.58%E -3.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%EV -1.65%E -0.575%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.21%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 11:12
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.21%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:06
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:21
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:06
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.14%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.24%EV -9.90%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -2.07%E -0.552%K -0.752%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.66%EV -9.56%E -4.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.43%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:10
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.15%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.59%E -4.07%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.89%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.03%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-08-29 11:25