Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.86
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 37.67%; Huddersfield Town (Visit): 34.57%; Draw: 27.76%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.74%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV +7.74%E +2.70%K +4.16%G +0.322% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -14.26%E -5.75%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -0.928%E -0.353%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -9.08%E -3.45%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -0.928%E -0.353%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -9.08%E -3.45%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.34%EV -5.45%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.77%EV -1.47%E -0.516%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.85%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -2.85%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.87% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |