Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milton Keynes Dons v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Huddersfield Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV +7.74%
Ventaja +2.70%
Kelly +4.16%
Crecimiento +0.322%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.82%37.60%37.73%38.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.502.8643.48%40.15%40.00%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 34.57%2.89momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.794%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.69%34.66%34.48%37.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.642.632.8540.32%37.84%38.02%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.76%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.813%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.75%27.79%29.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.323.303.5031.75%30.09%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 37.67%; Huddersfield Town (Visitante): 34.57%; Empate: 27.76%. Para Milton Keynes Dons (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.65. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.86, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.74%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.82%EV +7.74%E +2.70%K +4.16%G +0.322%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -14.26%E -5.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -0.928%E -0.353%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -9.08%E -3.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -0.928%E -0.353%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -9.08%E -3.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:00
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 12:59
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:54
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:54
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.34%EV -5.45%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.77%EV -1.47%E -0.516%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.85%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:05
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:54
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 13:30
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:04
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:20
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:44
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:05
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 13:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:03
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:00
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:00
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -11.17%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -2.85%E -0.813%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.93%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.66%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:04
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.42%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.87%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-08-22 13:55