Language:English
Mansfield Town v Wimbledon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 43.56%2.30fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.46%43.73%43.57%45.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wimbledon (Visit)
Prediction 27.25%3.67fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%27.18%27.20%28.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.403.8330.77%29.50%29.41%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV +0.713%
Edge +0.207%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.98%29.10%29.23%30.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.243.4534.72%30.87%30.86%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 43.56%; Wimbledon (Visit): 27.25%; Draw: 29.19%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.42%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.14%EV +4.37%E +1.14%K +1.55%G +0.068% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -4.54%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.89%E -0.526%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.89%E -0.526%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 08:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -9.84%E -4.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -9.84%E -4.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -10.27%E -4.99%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 09:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.35%EV -5.92%E -2.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -6.80%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -6.80%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.05%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.05%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -8.97%E -4.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -12.02%E -5.95%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -15.93%E -5.53%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |