La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mansfield Town v Wimbledon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mansfield Town (Local)
Predicción 43.56%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.46%43.73%43.57%45.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wimbledon (Visitante)
Predicción 27.25%3.67momio equitativo
EV +4.37%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.14%27.18%27.20%28.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.393.403.8330.77%29.50%29.41%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.19%3.43momio equitativo
EV +0.713%
Ventaja +0.207%
Kelly +0.291%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.98%29.10%29.23%30.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.243.4534.72%30.87%30.86%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.42%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.14%EV +4.37%E +1.14%K +1.55%G +0.068% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -4.54%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.89%E -0.526%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.89%E -0.526%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 08:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -9.84%E -4.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -9.84%E -4.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -10.27%E -4.99%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 09:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.35%EV -5.92%E -2.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -6.80%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -6.80%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +0.713%E +0.207%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.35%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.05%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.05%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -11.14%E -5.46%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -8.97%E -4.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -12.02%E -5.95%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -0.747%E -0.220%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -15.93%E -5.53%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -2.21%E -0.659%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |