The School of Odds
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Mansfield Town v Notts County

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.22%52.66%53.03%53.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.761.8558.82%56.31%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Visit)

Prediction 21.77%4.59fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%22.00%21.79%23.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.124.104.3325.97%24.26%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.25%3.96fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.63%25.34%25.18%26.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.8329.41%27.69%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mansfield Town (Local): 52.98%; Notts County (Visit): 21.77%; Draw: 25.25%. For Mansfield Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -1.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -16.17%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.15%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -16.17%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.15%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -7.46%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.59%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -3.29%E -0.859%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 16:15
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.76%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 16:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 17:05
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 17:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -7.82%E -4.50%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 16:19
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.82%E -4.50%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.84%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.64%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.85%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 16:13
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.85%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.85%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 16:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 51.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%16.4%2026-10-24 17:05