The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mansfield Town v Notts County

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 0–2 Notts County

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 49.27%2.03fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.79%49.40%49.23%51.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.881.9557.14%53.08%53.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Visit)

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.69%24.86%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.753.753.9527.78%26.68%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%25.91%25.91%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.603.7529.41%28.04%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 49.27%; Notts County (Visit): 24.80%; Draw: 25.93%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.38%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.88%EV -4.03%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -3.00%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 14:40
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.91%E -2.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.91%E -2.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.91%E -2.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -4.91%E -2.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.29%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -2.05%E -0.519%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -2.05%E -0.519%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.29%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.29%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:44
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:40
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:40
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -8.36%E -4.50%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 14:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -3.79%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.40%EV -4.56%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -2.74%E -0.732%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -9.35%E -5.08%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.85%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.29%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.29%EV -4.56%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -10.52%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 06:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -13.78%E -7.88%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -3.29%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-10-31 14:45

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