Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mansfield Town v Notts County

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 52.98%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.22%52.66%53.03%53.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.761.8558.82%56.31%56.82%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.77%4.59cote équitable
EV -5.72%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%22.00%21.79%23.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.124.104.3325.97%24.26%24.39%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.25%3.96cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -0.859%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.63%25.34%25.18%26.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.613.603.8329.41%27.69%27.78%26.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Mansfield Town (Local) : 52.98% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 21.77% ; Match nul : 25.25%. Pour Mansfield Town (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.89. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.85, pour une espérance de -1.99% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -16.17%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.15%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -16.17%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.15%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -7.46%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.59%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -3.29%E -0.859%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 16:15
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.76%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 16:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 17:05
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 17:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.17%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -7.82%E -4.50%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 16:19
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.82%E -4.50%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.84%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.64%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.55%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.85%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 16:13
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.85%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.85%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 16:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 51.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%16.4%2026-10-24 17:05