The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mansfield Town v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.33%39.36%39.43%40.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.322.322.4544.84%43.05%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 34.86%2.87fair odd
EV -0.648%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.350%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.86%34.84%34.76%35.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.652.8540.00%37.36%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.80%25.81%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.523.503.7829.85%28.41%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mansfield Town (Local): 39.38%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 34.86%; Draw: 25.76%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -0.648%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-14 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -8.32%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-14 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 19:14
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 21:24
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 19:04
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -6.29%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.94%EV -5.18%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -2.61%E -0.691%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-14 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.29%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -11.11%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:04
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 19:04
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.74%EV -7.86%E -3.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 19:00
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.74%EV -7.86%E -3.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 19:04
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-14 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 19:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-14 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 19:04
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 19:05
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-14 23:29
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -12.19%E -5.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -12.19%E -5.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.4%2026-11-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.4%2026-11-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.4%2026-11-14 22:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 32.13%2.32I 43.10%NM 32.41%2.12I 47.17%NM 35.46%33.0%2026-11-14 23:20

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