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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Mansfield Town v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 39.38%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.33%39.36%39.43%40.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.232.322.322.4544.84%43.05%43.10%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.86%2.87cote équitable
EV -0.648%
Avantage -0.227%
Kelly -0.350%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.86%34.84%34.76%35.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.652.8540.00%37.36%37.74%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.76%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -0.940%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.97%25.80%25.81%26.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.523.503.7829.85%28.41%28.57%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Mansfield Town (Local) : 39.38% ; Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur) : 34.86% ; Match nul : 25.76%. Pour Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.85, pour une espérance de -0.648% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-14 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -8.32%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-14 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 19:14
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 21:24
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 19:04
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -6.29%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.94%EV -5.18%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -2.61%E -0.691%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-14 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.29%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -11.11%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:04
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 19:04
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.74%EV -7.86%E -3.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 19:00
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.74%EV -7.86%E -3.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 19:04
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.37%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -0.648%E -0.227%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-14 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 19:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-14 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-14 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 19:04
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 19:05
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-14 23:29
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -12.19%E -5.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -12.19%E -5.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.4%2026-11-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.4%2026-11-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.4%2026-11-14 22:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 32.13%2.32I 43.10%NM 32.41%2.12I 47.17%NM 35.46%33.0%2026-11-14 23:20

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