Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 27.63%; Huddersfield Town (Visit): 45.79%; Draw: 26.58%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.75%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.92%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.66%E -0.449%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 17:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |