Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mansfield Town v Huddersfield Town

Início: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 0–0 Huddersfield Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Previsão 27.63%3.62odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -0.940%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%27.68%27.62%29.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.39%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Previsão 45.79%2.18odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.11%45.77%45.77%47.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.042.1251.28%48.95%48.90%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.58%3.76odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.449%
Kelly -0.616%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.69%26.56%26.61%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.483.503.7030.30%28.76%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mansfield Town (Local): 27.63%; Huddersfield Town (Visitante): 45.79%; Empate: 26.58%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.76. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -1.66%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.75%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:10
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.92%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.66%E -0.449%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:46
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:45
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 14:00
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:06
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:06
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:15
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:14
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:48
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 16:51
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:38
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 15:51
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:44
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:45
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 08:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 08:40
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 19:15
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 16:45
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 16:45
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 17:35
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 17:38
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-09-09 17:21
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%3.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%4.0%2026-09-09 17:25