Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 3.42
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 46.55%; Barnsley (Visit): 28.06%; Draw: 25.40%. For Mansfield Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -0.392%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.392%E -0.183%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.392%E -0.183%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -3.19%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -3.19%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -3.19%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.18%EV -5.05%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.14%EV -4.04%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -5.51%E -2.72%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.52%EV -6.44%E -3.21%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -6.44%E -3.21%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.55%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |