La escuela de los momios

Mansfield Town v Barnsley

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Predicción 46.55%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.392%
Ventaja -0.183%
Kelly -0.344%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.80%46.47%46.53%47.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1452.36%49.71%50.00%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnsley (Visitante)

Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.11%28.08%29.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.253.4232.26%30.56%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.40%3.94momio equitativo
EV -0.951%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%25.42%25.38%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.633.603.9032.26%27.56%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.392%E -0.183%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.392%E -0.183%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:55
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -3.19%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:25
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -3.19%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:25
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -3.19%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -4.12%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.18%EV -5.05%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.14%EV -4.04%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -5.51%E -2.72%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:25
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.52%EV -6.44%E -3.21%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -6.44%E -3.21%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.55%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:50
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:49
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 13:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:45
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:25
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-03-14 14:50