Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient v Wycombe Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 2–3 Wycombe Wanderers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.85%36.45%36.50%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.522.502.6341.15%39.69%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 36.48%2.74fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%36.42%36.53%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.11%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV +0.225%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.63%27.12%26.97%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.7031.25%29.51%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 36.44%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visit): 36.48%; Draw: 27.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.225%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV +0.225%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.48%E -0.690%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 07:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.48%E -0.690%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 11:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -10.63%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 08:30
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.63%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.63%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:30
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.02%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.44%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.54%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 11:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:01
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 09:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:08
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:05
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:03
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 08:00
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.25%E -2.43%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.99%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.25%E -2.43%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.99%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 36.79%EV -10.37%E -4.21%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.85%EV -6.00%E -2.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.13%EV -6.62%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.85%EV -6.00%E -2.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.13%EV -6.62%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 07:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:51
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%5.1%2026-09-09 16:36