Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient v Wycombe Wanderers

Início: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 2–3 Wycombe Wanderers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Previsão 36.44%2.74odd justa
EV -4.17%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.85%36.45%36.50%37.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.432.522.502.6341.15%39.69%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Previsão 36.48%2.74odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.560%
Kelly -0.890%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.65%36.42%36.53%37.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.11%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.09%3.69odd justa
EV +0.225%
Vantagem +0.061%
Kelly +0.083%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.63%27.12%26.97%28.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.393.403.7031.25%29.51%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leyton Orient (Local): 36.44%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante): 36.48%; Empate: 27.09%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.69. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.225%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV +0.225%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.48%E -0.690%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 07:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.48%E -0.690%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 11:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -10.63%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 08:30
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.63%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.63%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:30
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.02%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.44%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.54%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 11:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.98%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:01
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 09:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:08
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:05
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:03
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 08:00
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.25%E -2.43%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.99%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.25%E -2.43%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.99%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -1.51%E -0.560%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 36.79%EV -10.37%E -4.21%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.85%EV -6.00%E -2.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.13%EV -6.62%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.85%EV -6.00%E -2.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.13%EV -6.62%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 07:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -11.46%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -5.16%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.24%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:51
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%5.1%2026-09-09 16:36