Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 2.96
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 39.57%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 33.06%; Draw: 27.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.87%E -0.755%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.83%EV -2.27%E -0.918%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -10.07%E -3.70%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.81%EV -8.03%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.06%EV -3.79%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.56%E -0.719%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.04%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.04%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.04%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.04%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -5.04%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -5.04%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -6.77%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.35%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -15.69%E -6.15%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.35%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -15.69%E -6.15%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.02%E -2.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.02%E -2.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.02%E -2.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.02%E -2.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.02%E -2.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -7.81%E -3.35%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.20%E -3.54%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -2.14%E -0.722%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.20%E -3.54%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.78%EV -2.14%E -0.722%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -8.60%E -3.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -6.39%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.38%E -5.11%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.97%E -4.88%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |