La escuela de los momios

Leyton Orient v Sheffield Wednesday

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.50%29.54%29.57%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.30%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante)

Predicción 42.97%2.33momio equitativo
EV -5.47%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%42.97%43.00%44.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.102.102.2049.50%47.66%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%27.49%27.44%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.453.5032.26%29.50%28.99%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:16
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 07:34
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:55
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 14:19
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 29.58%EV -6.23%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.01%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.41%EV -6.12%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:55
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.53%EV -6.52%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.19%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -6.12%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 00:49
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -8.91%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 05:50
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 19:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 06:00
betano_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 09:09
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 09:10
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 16:35
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -9.34%E -4.42%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 00:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 19:40
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -13.20%E -6.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 10:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 19:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-20 19:40
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 12:14
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.21%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-30 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 29.73%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%12.9%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 35.24%2.06I 48.54%NM 38.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 26.11%25.6%2026-07-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 35.24%2.06I 48.54%NM 38.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 26.11%25.6%2026-07-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 35.24%2.06I 48.54%NM 38.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 26.11%25.6%2026-07-23 13:20