The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Leyton Orient v Plymouth Argyle

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.26%30.12%31.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.053.103.1734.72%32.82%32.26%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visit)

Prediction 43.67%2.29fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%43.52%43.70%44.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.142.2048.78%46.78%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.22%26.17%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.483.7530.30%28.60%28.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leyton Orient (Local): 30.17%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 43.67%; Draw: 26.16%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.89%EV -4.36%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.86%EV -5.68%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.25%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 15:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.64%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.23%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.87%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 14:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 14:30
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 19:10
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 14:24
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 14:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 14:24
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 14:10
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-26 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.07%EV -7.86%E -3.73%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-26 14:42
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 30.97%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%17.0%2026-09-26 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45