Language:English
Leyton Orient v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leyton Orient (Local)
Prediction 32.70%3.06fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +0.652%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%32.64%32.73%34.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.882.853.1038.17%34.67%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 41.76%2.39fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%41.79%41.77%43.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.212.222.3348.08%45.23%45.05%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.54%3.92fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%25.56%25.50%26.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.8029.41%27.73%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 32.70%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 41.76%; Draw: 25.54%. For Leyton Orient (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.37%E +0.442%K +0.652%G +0.009% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -12.31%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -12.31%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -12.31%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.16%EV -13.14%E -6.32%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.16%EV -13.14%E -6.32%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 10:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.72%EV -6.46%E -2.88%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -7.30%E -3.29%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.22%E -4.75%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.23%EV -7.71%E -3.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.13%E -3.70%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.22%E -4.75%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.04%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -14.33%E -5.47%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -10.22%E -4.75%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |