StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Leyton Orient v Plymouth Argyle

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Leyton Orient (Hemma)

Prognos 30.17%3.31rättvist odds
EV -4.36%
Fördel -1.37%
Kelly -2.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.52%30.26%30.12%31.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.053.103.1734.72%32.82%32.26%31.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Borta)

Prognos 43.67%2.29rättvist odds
EV -3.93%
Fördel -1.79%
Kelly -3.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.35%43.52%43.70%44.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.142.142.2048.78%46.78%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.16%3.82rättvist odds
EV -1.90%
Fördel -0.506%
Kelly -0.690%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.02%26.22%26.17%27.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.503.483.7530.30%28.60%28.78%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Leyton Orient (Hemma): 30.17%; Plymouth Argyle (Borta): 43.67%; Oavgjort: 26.16%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.82. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.75, med väntevärdet -1.90%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.89%EV -4.36%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.86%EV -5.68%E -2.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.25%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 15:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:25
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.64%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.23%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.87%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 14:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 14:30
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 19:10
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-26 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 14:24
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.21%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 14:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 14:24
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 14:10
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-26 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.07%EV -7.86%E -3.73%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-26 14:42
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 30.97%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%17.0%2026-09-26 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45