Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huddersfield Town v Cardiff City

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Huddersfield Town 1–1 Cardiff City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Prediction 31.20%3.21fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.75%31.14%31.19%31.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.44%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cardiff City (Visit)

Prediction 42.30%2.36fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.17%42.37%42.27%43.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.172.2747.62%45.88%45.98%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.812%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.49%26.54%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.6933.33%28.75%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huddersfield Town (Local): 31.20%; Cardiff City (Visit): 42.30%; Draw: 26.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.69, with an expected value of -2.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:19
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.38%EV -3.99%E -1.76%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.07%EV -2.18%E -0.592%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.84%EV -8.64%E -4.00%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.84%EV -8.64%E -4.00%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:28
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:15
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:09
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 12:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:05
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:05
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.73%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.53%E -2.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:29
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -8.91%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -8.91%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:29
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -7.79%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 12:45
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -20.47%E -6.82%K -10.24%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-14 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-14 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-14 18:20