La escuela de los momios

Huddersfield Town v Cardiff City

Inicio: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Huddersfield Town 1–1 Cardiff City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Predicción 31.20%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.75%31.14%31.19%31.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.44%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cardiff City (Visitante)

Predicción 42.30%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.17%42.37%42.27%43.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.172.2747.62%45.88%45.98%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.812%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.49%26.54%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.6933.33%28.75%28.57%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:20
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:19
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.38%EV -3.99%E -1.76%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.07%EV -2.18%E -0.592%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 18:30
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 17:59
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 18:30
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.73%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 18:20
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.84%EV -8.64%E -4.00%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.84%EV -8.64%E -4.00%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 18:28
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:09
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 18:30
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 12:15
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 18:05
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:05
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:05
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:20
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:19
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:20
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.73%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.53%E -2.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:29
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -8.91%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -8.91%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:29
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 10:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 10:10
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -7.79%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 12:45
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.53%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.06%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -20.47%E -6.82%K -10.24%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-14 16:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-14 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-14 18:20