Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.22
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 23.47%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 52.79%; Draw: 23.74%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.291%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.79%EV -0.942%E -0.223%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -1.48%E -0.356%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.41%E -0.336%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.79%EV -3.52%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.36%EV -4.80%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.67%E -0.650%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.41%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.291%E -0.069%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.26%E -6.04%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.41%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.41%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.16%E -3.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.16%E -3.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.67%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.35%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.35%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.26%E -6.04%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:37 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.36%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -21.66%E -6.56%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |