L’École des cotes

Exeter City v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Score final : Exeter City 3–3 Stockport County FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Prévision 23.47%4.26cote équitable
EV -0.942%
Avantage -0.223%
Kelly -0.293%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.46%23.56%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.753.943.904.2226.67%25.40%25.64%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.79%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.36%52.79%52.76%54.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.47%56.50%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.74%4.21cote équitable
EV -0.291%
Avantage -0.069%
Kelly -0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.75%23.69%26.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.853.804.2030.30%26.01%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.22I 23.70%NM 22.79%EV -0.942%E -0.223%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -1.48%E -0.356%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.41%E -0.336%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:48
1xBet4.11I 24.33%NM 22.79%EV -3.52%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.36%EV -4.80%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.67%E -0.650%K -0.860%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:39
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.76%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:30
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.41%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.291%E -0.069%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:40
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:30
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.26%E -6.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:50
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:50
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:50
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.28%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.41%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:49
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.41%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:30
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.16%E -3.29%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.16%E -3.29%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:50
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:39
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.45%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.62%E -4.36%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:19
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.67%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -8.60%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.35%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.63%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.35%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.98%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:30
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:20
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.04%E -3.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.97%E -2.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.80%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.15%E -4.68%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.26%E -6.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.36%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -21.66%E -6.56%K -9.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-18 13:40