Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Reading
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 49.91%2.00fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.07%49.85%49.80%51.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reading (Visit)
Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV -0.919%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.296%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%24.21%24.21%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.754.1027.78%26.45%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.435%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.93%25.94%26.00%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.553.503.8128.99%28.20%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 49.91%; Reading (Visit): 24.17%; Draw: 25.93%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.919%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.96%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.89%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -1.22%E -0.321%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.54%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.54%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -8.17%E -4.44%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.63%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.17%E -4.44%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.919%E -0.224%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |