La escuela de los momios

Doncaster Rovers v Reading

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 1–0 Reading

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 49.91%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.07%49.85%49.80%51.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Reading (Visitante)

Predicción 24.17%4.14momio equitativo
EV -0.919%
Ventaja -0.224%
Kelly -0.296%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%24.21%24.21%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.783.754.1027.78%26.45%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.435%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.93%25.94%26.00%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.553.503.8128.99%28.20%28.57%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:24
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:24
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.96%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.89%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -1.22%E -0.321%K -0.435%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:54
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:34
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:35
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:45
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.54%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:49
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.54%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:15
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -8.17%E -4.44%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.63%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.17%E -4.44%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.919%E -0.224%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:53
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:49
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:07
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-04-11 13:55