Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 38.02%2.63fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%37.96%38.01%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.432.422.5543.10%41.22%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 35.12%2.85fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -0.929%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%35.14%35.09%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.662.8040.00%37.39%37.59%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.91%26.90%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.7031.25%29.19%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 38.02%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 35.12%; Draw: 26.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.595%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.57%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.89%EV -6.24%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.54%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -7.64%E -2.91%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.21%E -4.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -8.12%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -8.12%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.595%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 03:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 03:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.45%E -4.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.45%E -4.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -8.00%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -4.48%E -1.65%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -8.00%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -4.48%E -1.65%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.52%E -4.00%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.52%E -4.00%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.21%E -4.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.53%EV -10.28%E -4.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 17:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -11.80%E -5.09%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -11.80%E -5.09%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.34% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |