Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers v Plymouth Argyle

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 2–3 Plymouth Argyle

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Previsão 38.02%2.63odd justa
EV -3.06%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.70%37.96%38.01%39.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.322.432.422.5543.10%41.22%41.32%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Previsão 35.12%2.85odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.597%
Kelly -0.929%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.39%35.14%35.09%37.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.672.662.8040.00%37.39%37.59%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.87%3.72odd justa
EV -0.595%
Vantagem -0.161%
Kelly -0.221%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.42%26.91%26.90%28.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.403.7031.25%29.19%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 38.02%; Plymouth Argyle (Visitante): 35.12%; Empate: 26.87%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -0.595%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.57%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.89%EV -6.24%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.54%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -7.64%E -2.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:24
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:24
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:24
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.21%E -4.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.28%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -8.12%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:09
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -6.59%E -2.48%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -8.12%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:19
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.595%E -0.161%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 03:25
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 03:28
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 12:24
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.45%E -4.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.45%E -4.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 12:24
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.99%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:15
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -8.00%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -4.48%E -1.65%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -8.00%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -4.48%E -1.65%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:34
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:34
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.67%E -0.597%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:35
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:19
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:24
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:24
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:30
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:19
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.52%E -4.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 12:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -9.52%E -4.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.21%E -4.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.53%EV -10.28%E -4.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -6.94%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 17:34
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.42%E -4.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -11.80%E -5.09%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -11.80%E -5.09%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.18%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.69%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41%2.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%2.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%2.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%3.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%3.5%2026-09-04 14:05