Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.20%42.78%42.76%43.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.2648.78%45.85%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV -0.717%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%30.38%30.35%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.053.2735.71%32.95%32.79%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -0.436%
Edge -0.118%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%26.84%26.89%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.453.7032.26%29.02%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 42.73%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 30.36%; Draw: 26.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.436%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -2.24%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.56%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.32%E -0.407%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.32%E -0.407%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -0.436%E -0.118%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 11:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.49%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.97%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 11:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 10:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 10:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -8.99%E -4.22%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -0.717%E -0.219%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -9.41%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.58%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -12.41%E -6.05%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 10:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 11:15 |