La escuela de los momios

Doncaster Rovers v Mansfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-03 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 42.73%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.20%42.78%42.76%43.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.2648.78%45.85%45.45%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 30.36%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.717%
Ventaja -0.219%
Kelly -0.316%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%30.38%30.35%31.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.053.2735.71%32.95%32.79%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.91%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.436%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.54%26.84%26.89%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.453.7032.26%29.02%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -2.24%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.56%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 11:20
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.32%E -0.407%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.32%E -0.407%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 11:05
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 11:20
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 11:20
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 11:20
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 11:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 11:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -0.436%E -0.118%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 11:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 11:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 10:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 10:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.49%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.97%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 11:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 11:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 11:20
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 11:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 11:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 11:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 11:20
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 11:17
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 10:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 10:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 10:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 10:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 10:59
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 11:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 07:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 11:20
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 11:20
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 11:20
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -8.99%E -4.22%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -0.717%E -0.219%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 11:20
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -9.41%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 10:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.13%E -0.869%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 10:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.27%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.58%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-03 11:20
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -12.41%E -6.05%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 10:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-04-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-03 11:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-03 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-03 11:15