Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Luton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 38.12%2.62fair odd
EV -0.901%
Edge -0.346%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.85%38.03%38.19%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.452.6043.48%40.39%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luton (Visit)
Prediction 34.75%2.88fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.97%34.86%34.73%36.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.632.622.8040.32%38.00%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV +0.388%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.144%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%27.11%27.08%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.413.403.7034.72%29.37%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 38.12%; Luton (Visit): 34.75%; Draw: 27.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.388%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +0.388%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -3.73%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -3.14%E -0.879%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.01%EV -6.24%E -2.54%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -8.25%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -4.50%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -5.47%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -2.69%E -0.961%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -5.47%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -2.69%E -0.961%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.47%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.47%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -13.81%E -5.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -13.81%E -5.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.34%E -5.36%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.86%E -7.59%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |