La escuela de los momios

Doncaster Rovers v Luton

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 38.12%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.901%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.85%38.03%38.19%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.452.6043.48%40.39%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Luton (Visitante)

Predicción 34.75%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.961%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.97%34.86%34.73%36.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.632.622.8040.32%38.00%38.17%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.13%3.69momio equitativo
EV +0.388%
Ventaja +0.105%
Kelly +0.144%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%27.11%27.08%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.413.403.7034.72%29.37%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +0.388%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001%6.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:19
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -3.73%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -3.14%E -0.879%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 19:30
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.01%EV -6.24%E -2.54%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -8.25%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -4.50%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -5.47%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -2.69%E -0.961%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:50
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.55%EV -5.47%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -2.69%E -0.961%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.31%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:10
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:10
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.47%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:30
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.47%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:10
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:33
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:35
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 18:44
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -13.81%E -5.57%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:10
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -13.81%E -5.57%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.17%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-10 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.34%E -5.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.86%E -7.59%K -11.63%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-10 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-03-10 19:40