Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.21%49.96%49.92%52.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.871.9356.50%53.56%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV -0.450%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.152%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%25.23%25.18%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.603.9529.41%27.37%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV +3.61%
Edge +0.865%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%24.80%24.90%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.693.704.1728.99%27.11%27.03%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 49.95%; Barnsley (Visit): 25.20%; Draw: 24.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.57%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -8.26%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%EV +3.61%E +0.865%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.615%E -0.154%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.615%E -0.154%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -11.59%E -6.55%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.10%E -0.795%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.25%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.30%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.49%EV -3.73%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.22%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.01%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -2.97%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.450%E -0.114%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.28%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.450%E -0.114%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.28%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |