Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers v Barnsley

Inicio: 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 0–0 Barnsley

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 49.95%2.00momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.21%49.96%49.92%52.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.871.871.9356.50%53.56%53.48%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barnsley (Visitante)

Predicción 25.20%3.97momio equitativo
EV -0.450%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.152%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%25.23%25.18%27.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.603.9529.41%27.37%27.78%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.85%4.02momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +0.865%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%24.80%24.90%26.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.693.704.1728.99%27.11%27.03%23.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 49.95%; Barnsley (Visitante): 25.20%; Empate: 24.85%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.02. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.17, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.61%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.57%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -8.26%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%EV +3.61%E +0.865%K +1.14%G +0.041%4.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -14.31%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.615%E -0.154%K -0.205%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.615%E -0.154%K -0.205%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:09
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -11.59%E -6.55%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.10%E -0.795%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.25%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:24
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 11:24
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 11:25
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.30%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.49%EV -3.73%E -0.975%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.22%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -1.71%E -0.438%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:25
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:25
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 10:59
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.01%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 10:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.27%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:14
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -2.97%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:00
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 10:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:00
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:00
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.53%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -11.80%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:00
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.23%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.75%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.79%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.04%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.450%E -0.114%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.28%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:00
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.450%E -0.114%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.28%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-08-22 11:15