Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 13:59 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 1–1 Wimbledon

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 54.54%1.83fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.65%54.45%54.55%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.81%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 20.90%4.79fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.666%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.79%20.91%21.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.424.354.9124.39%22.61%22.99%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.56%4.07fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.585%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%24.77%24.55%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.754.0029.41%27.14%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 54.54%; Wimbledon (Visit): 20.90%; Draw: 24.56%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV +2.61%E +0.531%K +0.666%G +0.017%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.13%EV -2.49%E -0.628%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -3.46%E -1.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV +0.306%E +0.064%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -3.46%E -1.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV +0.306%E +0.064%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.47%EV -7.82%E -4.63%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.306%E +0.064%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -11.64%E -7.19%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.306%E +0.064%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -0.738%E -0.155%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 13:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -0.738%E -0.155%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.92%E -5.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.738%E -0.155%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 13:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -2.83%E -0.608%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -2.83%E -0.608%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.87%E -0.842%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -3.87%E -0.842%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.87%E -0.842%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 13:45
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.45%EV -4.50%E -0.985%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.96%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.75%E -0.439%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.96%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 13:45
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.96%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.92%E -5.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.96%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 13:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-26 13:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.19%E -3.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -7.82%E -4.63%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 13:50
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:30
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:31
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 13:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.67%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -11.64%E -7.19%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-26 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -10.14%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 13:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.14%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 13:38
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -10.14%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-26 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 13:40
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 13:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 13:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -15.26%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -15.26%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 13:31
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -15.26%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.89%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.32%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -16.49%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-26 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -5.10%E -2.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.32%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -16.49%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-26 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-26 13:55
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-26 13:55
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-09-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-09-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-09-26 13:55