Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cambridge United v Wimbledon

2026-09-26 14:00 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prévision 49.95%2.00cote équitable
EV -5.10%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -5.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.27%49.93%49.98%51.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.841.841.9056.50%54.39%54.35%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wimbledon (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.20%23.22%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.994.004.1426.67%25.04%25.00%24.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -0.922%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.01%26.87%26.80%27.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.453.6030.30%28.83%28.99%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cambridge United (Local) : 49.95% ; Wimbledon (Visiteur) : 23.20% ; Match nul : 26.86%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance de -3.32% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.10%E -2.69%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -5.60%E -2.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:31
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.34%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.86%EV -3.96%E -0.956%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 18:27
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 18:09
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.55%EV -7.90%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:16
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.10%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.60%E -3.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.60%E -3.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 18:09
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.60%E -3.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -7.10%E -3.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.38%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 18:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 18:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.60%E -4.11%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 18:15
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:09
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:10
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -8.60%E -4.70%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.10%E -5.61%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 18:09
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.10%E -5.61%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -11.10%E -6.23%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -11.10%E -6.23%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -11.10%E -6.23%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -11.60%E -6.55%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -11.60%E -6.55%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 48.36%2.06I 48.54%NM 25.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 25.82%88.0%2026-09-19 20:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 48.36%2.06I 48.54%NM 25.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 25.82%88.0%2026-09-19 20:14
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 26.41%1.84I 54.35%NM 26.41%105.8%2026-09-19 20:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 20:14