Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Reading

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 2–1 Reading

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 36.48%2.74fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.65%36.47%36.57%37.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.542.6341.67%39.47%39.45%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.19%35.49%35.35%37.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.612.602.7540.32%38.35%38.39%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.709%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.03%28.08%28.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.27%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 36.48%; Reading (Visit): 35.46%; Draw: 28.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.29%EV -7.45%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -4.02%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 15:10
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:01
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -2.49%E -0.904%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 08:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 15:20
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:40
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:46
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:15
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:09
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:16
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.08%E -3.21%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 21:00
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.08%E -3.21%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.77%E -0.506%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -2.49%E -0.904%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 21:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:39
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -12.06%E -4.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -12.06%E -4.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 07:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.54%E -3.85%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 01:35
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -3.18%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 02:59
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 12:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-09 17:06
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%6.3%2026-09-09 17:06
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40