Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United v Reading

Início: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 2–1 Reading

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United (Local)

Previsão 36.48%2.74odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.65%36.47%36.57%37.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.532.542.6341.67%39.47%39.45%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Reading (Visitante)

Previsão 35.46%2.82odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.904%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.19%35.49%35.35%37.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.612.602.7540.32%38.35%38.39%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.07%3.56odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.506%
Kelly -0.709%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.88%28.03%28.08%28.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.27%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cambridge United (Local): 36.48%; Reading (Visitante): 35.46%; Empate: 28.07%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.56. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -1.77%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.29%EV -7.45%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -4.02%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 15:10
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.16%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:01
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -2.49%E -0.904%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 08:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 15:20
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:40
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:46
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:15
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:09
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:16
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.08%E -3.21%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 21:00
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.08%E -3.21%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.77%E -0.506%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -2.49%E -0.904%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 21:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:40
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:39
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -12.06%E -4.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.81%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -12.06%E -4.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.79%E -2.70%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 07:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.54%E -3.85%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 01:35
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -3.18%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 02:59
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.19%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 12:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.45%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-09-09 17:06
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%6.3%2026-09-09 17:06
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40