Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burton Albion v Stockport County FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd
EV -0.866%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.361%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%29.09%29.25%30.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.36%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visit)

Prediction 42.93%2.33fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.02%42.83%44.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.42%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV -0.620%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.242%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.88%27.93%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.353.5634.72%30.05%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 29.16%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 42.93%; Draw: 27.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -0.620%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -0.866%E -0.255%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 04:05
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -1.16%E -0.341%K -0.484%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -7.28%E -3.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV -0.620%E -0.174%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -3.20%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -3.20%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 04:05
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 04:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 09:20
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 22:04
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 17:20
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:40
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 16:49
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:00
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.41%E -1.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 19:34
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 14:50
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 19:50
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 17:20
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -7.28%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:25
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -7.57%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -5.65%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 19:34
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 17:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 19:10
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 19:25
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 14:50
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 19:20
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.15%E -7.07%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-23 14:59
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:25
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%3.1%2026-02-24 19:40