La escuela de los momios

Burton Albion v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Predicción 29.16%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.866%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.361%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%29.09%29.25%30.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.36%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 42.93%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.08%43.02%42.83%44.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.42%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.92%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.174%
Kelly -0.242%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.88%27.93%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.5634.72%30.05%29.85%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -0.866%E -0.255%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 04:05
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -1.16%E -0.341%K -0.484%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -7.28%E -3.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV -0.620%E -0.174%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -3.20%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 19:20
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -3.20%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 19:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 04:05
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 04:05
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 09:20
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 22:04
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 17:20
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 17:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 17:20
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:40
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 16:49
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.41%E -1.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 19:34
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 14:50
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 19:50
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 17:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 17:20
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 17:20
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -7.28%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:25
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -7.57%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -5.65%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 19:34
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 19:25
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 17:20
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.16%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 17:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 19:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 19:25
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 14:50
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:15
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:15
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:15
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 19:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.15%E -7.07%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -19.60%E -6.81%K -10.43%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-23 14:59
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:25
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.69%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-24 19:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%3.1%2026-02-24 19:40